The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa (Unabridged) - Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Gregory F. Treverton

The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa (Unabridged)

By Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Gregory F. Treverton

  • Release Date: 2015-01-16
  • Genre: News
  • ℗ © 2015 Foreign Affairs

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The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatilit Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Gregory F. Treverton

Summary : The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa (Unabridged)

Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate volatility.

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